Polymarket Users Are Betting Millions to Predict the Golden Globes

The awards present poll was as soon as an harmless watch-party sport.

Now, tens of millions of {dollars} are at stake.

Followers planning to observe the 83rd Golden Globe Awards are plowing cash into prediction markets, hoping for a windfall in the event that they accurately select a winner.

Hundreds of thousands have up to now been wager on Golden Globe winners on Polymarket, one of many main prediction market platforms. This 12 months, Polymarket partnered with the Golden Globes, which airs on CBS and Paramount+ on Sunday at 8 p.m. ET.

“The collaboration will deliver real-time, market-driven insights throughout the Golden Globes dwell occasions and a broad digital and editorial ecosystem touching followers’ best ardour factors throughout leisure, vogue and popular culture,” a joint press launch stated.

Prediction markets, equivalent to Polymarket and Kalshi, enable customers to purchase and promote shares on the outcomes of future occasions, together with sports activities video games or presidential elections, doubtlessly leading to a payday. Polymarket additionally offers real-time updates, that means the information can present insights into how shoppers and buyers assume.

The comparatively new markets are usually not strictly regulated, leaving room for these with insider data to sport the system. A last-minute bet on Polymarket final week that Venezuelan chief Nicolás Maduro can be ousted netted robust returns after the US captured Maduro in a shock raid hours later. A brand new invoice proposed final week in response would prohibit authorities officers from insider trading on prediction markets.

For the Globes, followers have already wager practically $2.5 million in contracts throughout 30 awards present classes on Polymarket, together with Greatest Director and Greatest Movement Image, as of Sunday afternoon.

So, who do betters assume will win?

Predicted Winners on Polymarket

Greatest Director

On Polymarket, betters assume Paul Thomas Anderson, whose movie “One Battle After One other” additionally snagged Golden Globe noms, has a 94% likelihood of successful Greatest Director. Ryan Coogler, director of “Sinners,” is behind Anderson at 3%.

Greatest Actor — Drama winner

Betters gave Wagner Moura, who starred in “The Secret Agent,” a 73% likelihood of successful Greatest Actor in a movement image drama. Michael B. Jordan of “Sinners” had a 24% likelihood.

Greatest Actor — Musical or Comedy winner

Timothee Chalamet, star of “Marty Supreme,” led with a 70% likelihood to win Greatest Actor in a Musical or Comedy movement image on Sunday afternoon. Leonardo DiCaprio adopted Chalamet at 17% for his work in “One Battle After One other.”

Greatest Actress — Drama winner

“Hamnet” star Jessie Buckley had a 96% of successful Greatest Actress in a drama movement image. Behind Buckley, betters gave Renate Reinsve of “Sentimental Worth” a 3% likelihood of successful.

Greatest Actress — Musical or Comedy winner

Polymarket betters assume Rose Byrne has a 76% likelihood of successful a Golden Globe Award for her position within the movie, “If I Had Legs I would Kick You.” Emma Stone, star of “Bugonia,” got here in second at 12%.

Greatest Movement Image — Animated winner

On Polymarket, customers gave Netflix’s “KPop Demon Hunters” a 92% likelihood of successful the highest animation prize. “Acro,” written and directed by Ugo Bienvenu, adopted at a 5% likelihood.

Greatest Movement Image — Musical or Comedy winner

Betters on Polymarket threw their cash behind “One Battle After One other” to win this class at 97%, beating “Marty Supreme,” which had a 2% likelihood.

Greatest Movement Image — Drama winner

“Sinners” had the best likelihood to win Greatest Movement Image within the drama class on Polymarket at 55%. “Hamnet” got here behind that at a 31% likelihood.